I am dusting off a classic test for risk intuition. If you remember the test from years past, it will be nice to reminisce. If not, take the test now to assess your intuition and look at risk in a new way.
Tag Archives | anecdotes
Stress Testing: A Reminder from Fukushima
The eyes of the world are on Fukushima, Japan, where heroic technicians and military personnel struggle to prevent a nuclear armageddon. A massive earthquake spawned a devastating tsunami that knocked out a nuclear power plant’s cooling system. And here we are. This reminds us how low-probability high-impact events tend to be correlated. If a country experiences prolonged draught, [...]
Conflict Over Risk Management: A Case Study
Conflict is a recurring problem for financial risk management. At your own firm, are risk managers dismissed as “risk police”? Are risk committee meetings contentious? Do traders hoard information? If you answered “yes” to some of these, you may have a serious problem. I just returned from London where I conducted a two-day strategic planning [...]
A Motivational Thought
So often, procedures read like some sort of legal disclaimer. Write them as you would a best-selling cookbook. They should not tell people what they can and can’t do. They should tell people how to do things.