Insider trading is making more headlines than we have seen since Ivan Boesky was fitted with handcuffs back in 1986. This morning’s newspapers report the arrests of Matthew Kluger and Garrett Bauer, a lawyer-trader pair who have apparently been at it for seventeen years. A third party in the scheme is cooperating with authorities. Yesterday, [...]
Stress Testing: A Reminder from Fukushima
The eyes of the world are on Fukushima, Japan, where heroic technicians and military personnel struggle to prevent a nuclear armageddon. A massive earthquake spawned a devastating tsunami that knocked out a nuclear power plant’s cooling system. And here we are. This reminds us how low-probability high-impact events tend to be correlated. If a country experiences prolonged draught, [...]
Facebook and Goldman Sachs: What You Should Know
If you are one of the lucky few investors Goldman Sachs is offering pre-IPO shares of Facebook to, buy all you can afford! The deal will be squeaky clean, and you will make gobs of money. Goldman Sachs will do everything possible to ensure you do. How do I know? Let’s connect a few dots. [...]
Not Your Parents’ Stock Market
After the 2000 tech bubble, followed by the broader market collapse in 2001-2002, it didn’t take long for individual Investors to return to the stock market. This time is different. The Investment Company Institute reports that Investors actually withdrew a whopping $33 billion from domestic equity mutual funds in the first seven months of this [...]
Benford’s Law
Benford’s Law is a fascinating theorem from statistics that states, for most forms of data, the leading digits of numbers are not uniformly distributed among 1 through 9. Instead, any given data point has a 30.1% probability of having a 1 as its leading digit. There is a 17.6% probability of the leading digit being [...]
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We Could Use a J. P. Morgan.
February 16, 2008
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The Trend is Your Friend: Value-at-Risk and Amaranth
October 26, 2006
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Hedge Funds: Who’ll Take the Toxic Waste?
August 10, 2007
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I’ll Be Gone. You’ll Be Gone.
January 19, 2007
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Milton Friedman: A Lesson in Positive Risk Measurement
November 24, 2006
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Peter Bernstein’s Evolving Thinking On Risk
May 12, 2007
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More Questions Than Answers
July 13, 2007
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A Right Way and a Wrong Way
October 19, 2006
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Inaugural Article
October 12, 2006
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Don’t Blame the Modelers
October 4, 2008
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gholton: Dodd-Frank was made sweeping to satisfy voters and...
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gholton: The article is vague about such matters precisely ...
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Richard Treumann: I think this blog could be improved by adding a bi...
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Richard Treumann: Glyn - Are you urging that we press for repeal ...
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jack ucciferri: Glyn you've done it again. Just like you did ...
- Online brokers | My 2 cents tips: [...] papers by Glyn Holton showed my a new way of...
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Kwak Axe: There is an old Indian proverb that goes like... ...
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Claire F: There are a couple of different approaches here: 1...
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Glyn A. Holton: First of all, let me say I am sorry for what your ...
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Debbi Mase: My family members live in Fukushima. I'm really c...

