I am dusting off a classic test for risk intuition. If you remember the test from years past, it will be nice to reminisce. If not, take the test now to assess your intuition and look at risk in a new way.
Tag Archives | market risk
Stress Testing: A Reminder from Fukushima
March 17, 2011
The eyes of the world are on Fukushima, Japan, where heroic technicians and military personnel struggle to prevent a nuclear armageddon. A massive earthquake spawned a devastating tsunami that knocked out a nuclear power plant’s cooling system. And here we are. This reminds us how low-probability high-impact events tend to be correlated. If a country experiences prolonged draught, [...]
Market Makers’ Dilemma
October 11, 2007
One of my clients deals in a specialty commodity. They source the commodity, process it, and then sell it in local markets around the world. In some local markets, my client is a two-bit player. In others, they are the market maker. In those markets, they largely set the price of that commodity. Unlike a [...]
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We Could Use a J. P. Morgan.
February 16, 2008
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The Trend is Your Friend: Value-at-Risk and Amaranth
October 26, 2006
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Hedge Funds: Who’ll Take the Toxic Waste?
August 10, 2007
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I’ll Be Gone. You’ll Be Gone.
January 19, 2007
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Milton Friedman: A Lesson in Positive Risk Measurement
November 24, 2006
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Peter Bernstein’s Evolving Thinking On Risk
May 12, 2007
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More Questions Than Answers
July 13, 2007
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A Right Way and a Wrong Way
October 19, 2006
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Inaugural Article
October 12, 2006
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Don’t Blame the Modelers
October 4, 2008
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gholton: Dodd-Frank was made sweeping to satisfy voters and...
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gholton: The article is vague about such matters precisely ...
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Richard Treumann: I think this blog could be improved by adding a bi...
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Richard Treumann: Glyn - Are you urging that we press for repeal ...
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jack ucciferri: Glyn you've done it again. Just like you did ...
- Online brokers | My 2 cents tips: [...] papers by Glyn Holton showed my a new way of...
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Kwak Axe: There is an old Indian proverb that goes like... ...
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Claire F: There are a couple of different approaches here: 1...
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Glyn A. Holton: First of all, let me say I am sorry for what your ...
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Debbi Mase: My family members live in Fukushima. I'm really c...
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