If you are one of the lucky few investors Goldman Sachs is offering pre-IPO shares of Facebook to, buy all you can afford! The deal will be squeaky clean, and you will make gobs of money. Goldman Sachs will do everything possible to ensure you do. How do I know? Let’s connect a few dots. [...]
Benford’s Law
Benford’s Law is a fascinating theorem from statistics that states, for most forms of data, the leading digits of numbers are not uniformly distributed among 1 through 9. Instead, any given data point has a 30.1% probability of having a 1 as its leading digit. There is a 17.6% probability of the leading digit being [...]
Played On The Street – Part 2
Last week, I took the Wall Street Journal to task for publishing a “Heard on the Street” column that did little more than spread hedge fund industry hype. In that blog posting, I asked Journal staff to look into four questions related to the relevance and validity of the facts asserted in that column. On [...]
Played On The Street
A free nation, not to mention free markets, depend on a free, independent press. How can voters make wise decisions—or investors allocate assets prudently—if the news they rely on is manipulated? Reporters struggle to inform their audiences, depending on sources for information while trying to avoid being played by those same sources. Day after day, [...]
Hedge Funds: Who’ll Take the Toxic Waste?
Long before Mark Twain stood on Wall Street and saw it was a “street with a river at one end and a graveyard at the other,” there has been financial manipulation and scams. During the Punic Wars against Carthage, businessmen offered to ship supplies to Rome’s army on condition the state insured their ships and [...]
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We Could Use a J. P. Morgan.
February 16, 2008
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The Trend is Your Friend: Value-at-Risk and Amaranth
October 26, 2006
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Hedge Funds: Who’ll Take the Toxic Waste?
August 10, 2007
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I’ll Be Gone. You’ll Be Gone.
January 19, 2007
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Milton Friedman: A Lesson in Positive Risk Measurement
November 24, 2006
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Peter Bernstein’s Evolving Thinking On Risk
May 12, 2007
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More Questions Than Answers
July 13, 2007
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A Right Way and a Wrong Way
October 19, 2006
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Inaugural Article
October 12, 2006
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Don’t Blame the Modelers
October 4, 2008
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gholton: Dodd-Frank was made sweeping to satisfy voters and...
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gholton: The article is vague about such matters precisely ...
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Richard Treumann: I think this blog could be improved by adding a bi...
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Richard Treumann: Glyn - Are you urging that we press for repeal ...
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Kwak Axe: There is an old Indian proverb that goes like... ...
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Claire F: There are a couple of different approaches here: 1...
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Glyn A. Holton: First of all, let me say I am sorry for what your ...
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Debbi Mase: My family members live in Fukushima. I'm really c...

